A Level Maths Notes: S4 – Confidence Interval For The Mean of a Normal Distribution When the Standard Deviation is Not Given
If samples of size
are
taken from a population whose mean
and
standard deviation
is
known then
the
mean of the sample has the normal distribution
If
we know the standard deviation but not the mean of the population
then we can find a confidence interval for the mean of the population
by rearranging
(1)
to give
(2) with probability corresponding to the value of z. Hence the
confidence interval for the mean is given by
(3)
Note that confidence
intervals are two sided. If we are required to find a 90% confidence
interval the we look up that value of z corresponding to a
probability of
in
the tables for the normal distribution.
In practice, the standard deviation is only one more
thing to be calculated from the data, so there is rarely such a thing
as the 'true' standard deviation
In
the case where the population is normal but the standard deviation
has to be calculated from the sample we cannot use the above
expression for the confidence interval. Instead we use student's
–
distribution. The
–
distribution is similar to the normal distribution, being
symmetrical, bell shaped and having most most values occurring within
three or so standard deviations from the mean. In addition as
the
–
distribution approximates more closely to the normal distribution.
If
is
the standard deviation calculated from the sample of size
then
instead of (1) we have
and
instead of (2) we have
and (3) becomes
Example: Find a 95 %confidence interval for the mean of the population from which the following sample is taken, assuming that the population is normally distributed.
3,4,3,4,5,6,2,3,4,5
![]()
![]()
from
the tables.
The confidence interval is![]()