An estimator
fora statistical parameter
issaid to be unbiased if![]()
The mean of a sample
isan unbiased estimator of the population mean
Thiscan be used in a less obvious way in the following example.
A bag has 500 beans of twocolours, black and white. A sample of twenty beads is randomlyselected, with each bead put back in the bag immedicately afterselection, and the number of white beads is counted. Suppose we countn white beads is this sample. The proportion of white beads in thesample is then![]()
To estimate the actualnumber of white beads, w, in the bag, calculate![]()
The probability of pickinga white bead from the bag is
sopicking a sample of twenty beads, replacing each one in the bag afterselection, gives a binomial probability distribution for the numberof white beads of![]()
Thus the average number ofwhite beads is a sample is![]()
The estimated number ofwhite beads in the bag using our single sample is
so![]()
so
isan unbiased estimater for the mean.