Two events A and B are mutually exclusive if they cannot both occur, either at the same time, or one after the other, depending on the circumstances. If they are mutually exclusive andand
are the probabilities of events A, B or both A and B occurring respectively, then A and B are mutually exclusive if
The definition extends naturally to sets. Two sets A and B are mutually exclusive ifor
There is no intersection.
Events A and B are mutually exhaustive if either A must occur or B must occur or both. This then means thatIf events A and B are mutually exhaustive then
This definition also extends naturally to sets. If sets A and B are mutually exhaustive then
or
If A and B are also mutually exclusinve then
Events A and B are independent if event A does not affect the probability of event B and vice versa.and
satisfy the equation
Alternatively, we can consider that event B has happened, and then consider the probability that A will happen. This is called 'conditional probability' – the probability of A happening conditional on B having happened, and is written
The equation for conditional probability is
If A and B are independent thenso
which states the obvious fact that A is independent of B.