Suppose we have the payoff matrix below for player B in a two player game between players A and B.
Payoff Matrix for B |
A |
||
Y |
Z |
||
B |
U |
7 |
-4 |
V |
-5 |
3 |
If player B chooses strategy U with probabilityand strategy V with probability and if A chooses strategy Y, the expected gain for B is
If A chooses strategy Z, the expected gain for B is
We can plot these two functions. The point of intersection will give the proportion of the time that player B choose strategy U.
The optimal value foroccurs when these expected gains are equal, so
We can find the probability that player A should choose strategies Y and Z similarly.
Suppose that player A chooses strategy Y with probabilityand strategy Z with probability
Then if B chooses strategy U, the expected loss for A is
If B chooses strategy V, the expected loss for A is
We can plot these. The intersection give give the the proportion of games in which player A should play strategy Y.
The optimal value forwhich minimises the losses for play A, occurs when these expected losses are equal, so